Risk Disclaimer

1. Not Financial Advice

KAIROS AI IS A TECHNOLOGY TOOL, NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR, INVESTMENT ADVISOR, BROKER-DEALER, OR REGISTERED INVESTMENT COMPANY. NOTHING ON THIS PLATFORM CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL ADVICE, INVESTMENT ADVICE, TRADING ADVICE, OR ANY RECOMMENDATION TO BUY, SELL, OR HOLD ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT.

The AI signals, analysis, recommendations, and automated trades generated by Mantikos AI are outputs of algorithmic models and should not be interpreted as professional financial guidance. You should consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Mantikos AI accepts no liability for financial decisions made based on information provided through the Service.

2. Prediction Market Risk

Prediction markets carry unique and significant risks, including but not limited to:

• Binary Outcome Risk: Prediction market contracts resolve to either full value or zero. You can lose your entire position on any individual trade.
• Liquidity Risk: Markets may have insufficient liquidity to execute trades at desired prices, or to exit positions before resolution.
• Market Manipulation: Prediction markets may be subject to manipulation by other participants, which can adversely affect prices and outcomes.
• Event Risk: Unexpected real-world events can cause rapid, unpredictable market movements that no AI system can reliably forecast.
• Platform Risk: Kalshi, as the underlying exchange, may experience outages, rule changes, contract disputes, or regulatory actions that affect your positions.

3. AI and Algorithmic Trading Risk

The use of artificial intelligence and automated trading systems introduces additional risks:

• Model Risk: AI models are trained on historical data and may not perform well in novel market conditions. No model can perfectly predict future outcomes.
• Overfitting: Models trained on past data may be overfitted to historical patterns that do not persist in live trading.
• Execution Risk: Automated systems may place unintended trades due to software errors, API failures, connectivity issues, or unexpected market conditions.
• Speed and Sequencing Risk: Automated systems may execute trades faster than you can monitor or intervene.
• Confidence Score Limitations: Our confidence scoring system is a probabilistic estimate, not a guarantee. High confidence does not mean certainty of profit.

4. No Guarantee of Performance

PAST PERFORMANCE OF THE KAIROS AI SIGNAL ENGINE, INCLUDING ANY HISTORICAL WIN RATES, PROFIT AND LOSS FIGURES, OR BACKTESTED RESULTS, DOES NOT GUARANTEE, PREDICT, OR IMPLY FUTURE PERFORMANCE.

Any performance statistics displayed on the platform represent historical data from a specific period under specific market conditions. These figures:

• May not be representative of results you will experience;
• May have been achieved under favorable market conditions that do not persist;
• Include both winning and losing periods; and
• Should not be interpreted as a projection or forecast of future results.

5. Technology and Operational Risk

• System Downtime: The Service may experience planned or unplanned downtime. During downtime, trades may not be executed, monitored, or closed. We are not liable for losses arising from system unavailability.
• API Dependency: The Service depends on Kalshi's API. If Kalshi changes, restricts, or terminates API access, the Service may be impaired or unavailable.
• Connectivity Risk: Internet connectivity issues on your end or ours may result in delayed or failed trade execution.
• Security Risk: Despite our security measures, no system is immune to cyberattacks. A security breach could potentially result in unauthorized access to your account or API credentials.
• Software Bugs: Software may contain errors that cause unintended behavior, including placing trades outside your intended parameters.

6. Regulatory and Legal Risk

The regulatory status of prediction markets is evolving and varies by jurisdiction. You are solely responsible for determining whether your use of prediction markets and this Service complies with the laws of your jurisdiction. Regulatory changes may restrict or eliminate access to prediction markets, affecting your ability to trade or withdraw funds.

Mantikos AI does not represent or warrant that the Service is legal, appropriate, or available in your jurisdiction. Users in certain states or countries may be prohibited from accessing prediction markets. You assume all legal risk associated with your use of the Service.

7. Tax Implications

Trading profits and losses from prediction markets may have tax implications in your jurisdiction. Mantikos AI does not provide tax advice. You are solely responsible for tracking your trading activity and complying with all applicable tax laws. We recommend consulting a qualified tax professional familiar with your situation.

8. Risk Management Is Your Responsibility

While Mantikos AI provides configurable risk controls (per-trade limits, daily caps, confidence thresholds), these controls do not eliminate risk. You are responsible for:

• Setting appropriate risk parameters for your financial situation;
• Regularly monitoring your account activity and trading performance;
• Promptly disabling trading if you observe unexpected behavior;
• Not allocating funds to trading that you cannot afford to lose; and
• Understanding that the Service can and will lose trades.

9. Third-Party Platform Risk

Mantikos AI operates through Kalshi's platform and API. We have no control over Kalshi's operations, rules, fee structures, market resolutions, or availability. Mantikos AI is an independent service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Kalshi. Any disputes regarding trade outcomes, market resolutions, or funds held on Kalshi must be resolved directly with Kalshi.

10. Only Risk What You Can Afford to Lose

Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose entirely. Do not use funds intended for essential expenses (rent, food, healthcare, education) for prediction market trading. The volatile and binary nature of prediction markets means that any amount allocated to trading should be considered at risk of complete loss.

If you are experiencing financial hardship or have concerns about problem gambling or compulsive trading behavior, please seek assistance from a qualified professional before using this Service.

11. Acknowledgment

By using Mantikos AI, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted this Risk Disclaimer in its entirety. You confirm that you understand the risks involved in prediction market trading and automated AI-driven systems, and that you are using the Service at your own risk.

12. Contact

Questions about this Risk Disclaimer may be directed to: legal@mantikos.io